Football Predictions Today – Tuesday, 13 October 2026
FootballPredictions.bet turns team scoring data into expected goals and a Poisson probability distribution for every fixture, so each match gets 1X2, BTTS, goals and correct-score forecasts alongside form, head-to-head records and league statistics — not a one-line tip.
Read how the model works or check our published prediction accuracy and the full results log.
Live now
Scores refresh from our cached data layer while matches are in play.
Today's fixtures and predictions
Grouped by country and competition, with model probabilities on every fixture.
Data source: API-Football · updated 0 sec ago
Brazil · Serie A
1 fixturesWorld · UEFA Champions League
9 fixturesModel pick
Sporting CP win
50%
1X2 32/19/50 · BTTS 79% · O2.5 83%
BTTS 79% · O2.5 83%
Model pick
Sabah FA win
62%
1X2 62/17/21 · BTTS 75% · O2.5 82%
BTTS 75% · O2.5 82%
Low data
Arsenal win
53%
1X2 53/21/26 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 70%
Competition baseline — awaiting fixture data.
BTTS 68% · O2.5 70%
Low data
Manchester United win
48%
1X2 31/21/48 · BTTS 71% · O2.5 72%
Competition baseline — awaiting fixture data.
BTTS 71% · O2.5 72%
Model pick
Barcelona win
87%
1X2 5/8/87 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 85%
BTTS 61% · O2.5 85%
Model pick
Home/Draw
60%
1X2 40/21/40 · BTTS 75% · O2.5 76%
BTTS 75% · O2.5 76%
Model pick
PSV Eindhoven win
70%
1X2 13/17/70 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 68%
BTTS 58% · O2.5 68%
Low data
Bayern München win
55%
1X2 26/19/55 · BTTS 74% · O2.5 77%
Competition baseline — awaiting fixture data.
BTTS 74% · O2.5 77%
Low data
Villarreal win
47%
1X2 47/22/32 · BTTS 69% · O2.5 70%
Competition baseline — awaiting fixture data.
BTTS 69% · O2.5 70%
England · Championship
8 fixturesModel pick
Draw/Away
67%
1X2 33/26/40 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%
BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%
Model pick
Burnley win
52%
1X2 52/24/24 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Cardiff win
51%
1X2 51/26/23 · BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%
BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%
Model pick
Home/Draw
64%
1X2 41/23/36 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%
BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%
Model pick
Wolves win
54%
1X2 54/21/25 · BTTS 66% · O2.5 67%
BTTS 66% · O2.5 67%
Model pick
Draw/Away
69%
1X2 31/29/40 · BTTS 44% · O2.5 37%
BTTS 44% · O2.5 37%
Model pick
Birmingham win
46%
1X2 46/24/30 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 57%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 57%
Model pick
Stoke City win
49%
1X2 49/24/27 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 57%
BTTS 58% · O2.5 57%
Top model predictions today
Fixtures where the model's leading selection clears 60% probability and both teams have at least three completed matches in our dataset.
Championship
Wrexham vs West Brom
West Brom or Draw 69%
Projected score 0–1 · BTTS 44% · O2.5 37%
Championship
Bristol City vs Blackburn
Blackburn or Draw 67%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%
Serie A
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro or Draw 65%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 55%
Championship
Millwall vs Swansea
Millwall or Draw 64%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%
Popular prediction markets
How our predictions work
Three steps, the same for every fixture on this site.
1. Expected goals
Each team's scoring and conceding rates are adjusted for the opponent and home advantage to give an expected goals figure for this fixture.
2. Probability distribution
A Poisson distribution turns those two numbers into the chance of every scoreline, which becomes the 1X2, BTTS, goals-line and correct-score probabilities.
3. Published and scored
The pre-match figures are stored before kick-off and checked against the final result, so the accuracy record on this site is the model's own history.
Latest football analysis
Guides explaining the statistics behind the numbers on this site.
How Football Prediction Models Work
A plain-English walkthrough of how a football prediction model turns team data into win, BTTS and goals probabilities, and where its limits lie.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 7 min read
Understanding BTTS Statistics
What both teams to score percentages actually measure, why defensive weakness drives them more than attacking flair, and how to read BTTS trends without being misled.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 6 min read
Reading Over/Under Goals Lines
How goals lines work, why over 2.5 dominates coverage, and how to use projected totals and league goal environments to interpret a goals prediction.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 6 min read
Today's football predictions explained
Every fixture on this page carries a full probability distribution rather than a single tip. Our model converts each team's attacking and defensive output into expected goals for the specific matchup, then uses a Poisson goal distribution to derive the chance of a home win, draw or away win, both teams scoring, each goals line and every plausible scoreline.
Because the outputs are probabilities, they should be read as ranges rather than verdicts. A selection quoted at 62% is expected to be wrong roughly four times in ten. That is normal and is why we publish confidence levels, the model's expected goals and the underlying form data behind each pick instead of a bare prediction.
Markets covered include 1X2, double chance, draw no bet, both teams to score, over/under goals lines and correct score. Fixture pages add head-to-head history, home and away splits, a team-by-team statistical comparison and the current league table, so you can see whether the numbers agree with the narrative.
Predictions regenerate as new results and team data arrive, and each fixture page shows when its analysis was last updated. Live matches switch to the match centre view with in-play scores and a timeline. Predictions are statistical estimates for informational purposes only.